Anyone in Greece that still has the illusion that the United States will hurry to mediate in favour of a country with de facto occupied national sovereignty should land in a new reality, which is shaped in Eurasia, and especially in the Rimland, which surrounds the majority of the Eurasian space we know as the Heartland.
The recent top strategic agreement between the Islamic Republic of Iran and China indicates the will of the latter (with consent from Russia) to upgrade the regional role of the former in the direction of shifting the international center from the West to Eurasia. It will trigger a series of developments with cataclysmic extensions.
Whether we accept it or not, Neo-Ottoman Turkey is an integral part of the Euro-Atlantic architecture. The Deep State of the United States will not only fail to put pressure on Turkey for the benefit of Greece, but will encourage Ankara’s upgrade as a strategic embankment to challenge China’s Belt and Road Initiative expansion, especially when this expansion is imminent to arise with the use of the Shi’ite corridor (Iran-Iraq-Syria-Lebanon).
China’s geo-economic strategy is in full contrast to that of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s Eurasian agenda, although he himself knows that the “resolution” of the Turkish economy can be achieved by Turkey’s membership in the “Eurasian Economic Union” and the “Shanghai Cooperation Organization,” and its participation in the hatching alternative financial, banking and (crypto) monetary system promoted by China with Russia (for which, of course, Greece is unfortunately not interested in).
Neo-Ottoman megalomania, however, outweighs and is the one that (at least) provides the Turkish President with huge diplomatic flexibility. Erdoğan’s strategic goal to create an “anti-China,” serves strategic priorities of American diplomacy, as well as deeper goals of “unholy collusion,” which holds the fibers of the U.S. political system.
In this sense, not only should we not expect some meaningful assistance from the United States in resolving the Greek-Turkish crisis, but instead to address with great distrust and cautious initiatives by American diplomacy which aims exclusively at ensuring the maximum possible ExxonMobil and Chevron involvement in the East Mediterranean energy future.
If United States energy colossus reach a mutually beneficial agreement with Turkey, this agreement will be found on the ruins of Greece and Cyprus.
And here’s another issue.
Who is the main regional player whose interests are affected by any regional upgrade of Iran? Obviously, the “ally state” named Israel. Have we weighted the consequences of a possible tactical re-approach of Turkey and Israel to halt Iranian influence?
Was the asymmetric terrorist act that recently hit Beirut a first event of this tactical re-approach?
These are some of the questions that should concern Greek think tanks and responsible government advisors. A further development of this analysis will soon be followed on issues of wider international and regional interest.
Published by Ioannis S. Fritzalas.
The views of the author is not necessarily those of Greek City Times