"Fear" Index eased in December

Greek economy flag Fear Index

The KEPE GRIV "Fear" Index eased to 28.48% in December from 31.52% in the previous month, demonstrating a decrease in uncertainty for the expected short-term course of the Greek market.

The Centre of Planning and Economic Research (KEPE) said in a monthly report that the "Fear" index reflects the uncertainty of the derivatives market participants regarding the expected short-term course of the Greek market, and is calculated based on the FTSE/ASE Large Cap Index options prices.

The index remained below its historical average level (since January 2004) for the Greek market, which stands at 32.58%. Moreover, the average daily value of the index decreased, reaching 29.77% in December 2022, from 33.07% in November 2022.

Meanwhile, Greek economic sentiment index grew to 104.3 points in December from 101.4 in November, to reach 9-month highs, the Foundation for Economic and Industrial Research (IOBE) said on Monday.

IOBE, in a monthly report, said this development was in line with trend prevailing in Europe and reflected an improvement in business expectations mostly in the manufacturing sector and to a lesser extent the services sector, while consumer confidence recovered to early 2021 levels.

On the other hand, expectations in the retail commerce deteriorated despite the holiday season, as in private constructions.

Uncertainties related with inflation and the wider international environment remain strong but have been embodied in business expectations and a gradual weakening of uncertainties is expected later this year.

IOBE said the economic sentiment index could rise further, as it usually happens during pre-election periods with households and enterprises discounting measures to their benefit.

More specifically, business expectations in the manufacturing sector recorded a significant weakening of negative estimates on new orders, while estimates over production trends in the coming months rose slightly.

In the construction sector, negative estimates over production fell strongly, in the retail commerce, estimates over current sales fell significantly, in the services sector positive estimates over the current condition of enterprises changed mildly.

Households' negative estimates over the country's finances fell markedly, along with estimates over their own finances.

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