Erdogan Will Deploy Turkish Forces If Israel Enters Lebanon, Former Envoy Warns

Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan recently indicated that he might increase military support for Palestinians through aid and smuggling, rather than engaging in direct military action against Israel, according to Dr. Alon Liel, former Foreign Ministry director and former Israeli ambassador to Turkey. Dr. Liel made these comments during an interview on Radio North 104.5FM.

"He is hinting at bolstering military assistance to aid the Palestinians in their conflict, both Hamas and other factions in the West Bank," Dr. Liel informed radio host Gadi Ness.

Dr. Liel further elaborated, "Erdogan has previously attempted similar actions, establishing a headquarters in Turkey aimed at potentially conducting military operations, smuggling weapons, and transferring funds for armament purchases. However, it is improbable that Erdogan would go as far as sending Turkish troops to invade Israel."

[Photo Caption] Turkey's President Tayyip Erdogan speaks during a NATO summit in Washington, US, July 11, 2024. (Credit: Reuters/Elizabeth Frantz)

"I believe his threats should be taken seriously. He has shown consistency in following through on previous threats, such as suspending trade with Israel. He is actively aiding the Palestinians by transporting casualties to Turkish hospitals and finding ways to funnel money to them," Dr. Liel added.

Indirect Support for Anti-Israel Forces

"In my view, Erdogan will aim to reinforce the forces opposing us by sending funds or smuggling through the Egyptian border. He has notably improved relations with Egypt, facilitating the movement of resources to the West Bank and Jerusalem. Erdogan has maintained an indirect presence in Jerusalem," Dr. Liel continued.

Dr. Liel also noted, "Erdogan perceives any significant event in Lebanon as a precursor to Israeli intervention. He could deploy forces to Lebanon, as he has previously sent destroyers and combat ships to Lebanese territorial waters."

"In an ideal diplomatic situation, we would need to sever ties with Erdogan. However, our current diplomatic weakness prevents us from imposing any significant repercussions for his statements, allowing him to exploit the situation without facing consequences," Dr. Liel concluded.