The possibility of a returns agreement to send migrants back to Turkey seems highly unlikely in light of recent reports that Home Office officials have deemed it unsafe due to human rights concerns.
The Times revealed that a review conducted internally concluded that Turkey does not meet the criteria of being a "generally safe" country for migrants to be returned to. This casts doubt on the government's hopes for a similar agreement to the successful one with Albania, which has been celebrated by leading Tories, including Rishi Sunak.
The proportion of Turkish nationals arriving in the UK via small boats has seen a substantial increase, rising from 2% in 2022 to over 10% last year. The Home Office review discovered that 99% of Turkish asylum cases in the UK were based on a fear of the state, highlighting concerns about Turkey's use of anti-terrorism laws and the independence of its courts. Consequently, the decision to pursue a returns agreement with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan appears increasingly unlikely.
A spokesperson from the Home Office addressed the issue, emphasizing the importance of international cooperation in tackling illegal migration and highlighting the UK's strategic partnership with Turkey. They further stated that individuals without a legal right to be in the UK will be sought for return to their home country. However, they assured that protection claims will be evaluated on an individual basis, in accordance with international obligations, and that anyone at risk of persecution or serious harm will not be returned.
The seriousness of the situation is reflected in Rishi Sunak's commitment to "stop the boats," a key focus of his premiership. With over 1,000 migrants having arrived in the UK via the Channel this year alone, the need for effective measures to address the issue remains pressing. Former home secretary Suella Braverman expressed concern about the decision, stating on X that she had previously proposed listing Turkey as a safe country due to its membership in various international organizations. She believes the government should reconsider this decisive move.
